Prediction markets that terminate on truth, not on time.
Sooth is a fully on-chain protocol for infinite-end prediction markets that use retroactive finality to neutralize latency arbitrage and protect LPs, backed by a unified vault and multi-class adjudication.
Free-option resistant Latency-agnostic
If the condition is met at T*, all trades after T* are economically rewound via ZK-verified settlement. No rollbacks. No LP bleed from stale quotes.
| Market | Adjudicator | Status | Implied YES |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC 7-day TWAP > $100k | Oracle+ZK | Live · Infinite-End | 62% |
| “Protocol X hacked > $1M?” | ZK Rule | Cooldown · T* pending | 41% |
| “UN Announces Confirmation of Alien Life” | Optimistic | Live · Infinite-End | 54% |
| “Stablecoin Z depegs < 0.90” | Oracle+ZK | Settled | 0% |
Markets do not expire on a fixed date. They remain live until an adjudicator reports a truth and a termination time T*. Settlement is computed back from T*, rewinding any latency-driven trades.
LPs deposit into a singleton vault and earn fees and yield across all markets sharing that adjudicator class. LMSR ensures bounded loss; ZK settlement avoids loss-vs-rebalancing from stale quotes.
- Event-driven lifecycle
- Guardian-driven cooldown
- Retroactive settlement on T*
- Unified LP exposure
- Virtual liquidity routing
- Bounded-loss LMSR curve
- Merkle-root settlement
- Proof-verified accounting
- Local PnL application per account
| Axis | Sooth | Polymarket | Kalshi | Omen | HIP-4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Type | Infinite-End, T*-driven | Fixed event markets | Fixed event contracts | Fixed Q&A markets | Event perps |
| Liquidity | Vault + LMSR vAMM | Hybrid CLOB / on-chain | Centralized CLOB | Per-market AMM pools | On-chain CLOB |
| Resolution | Multi-class + ZK settlement | Oracle + optimistic | Centralized oracle | Reality.eth + arbitration | Chosen oracle |
| Decentralization | Fully on-chain protocol | Hybrid infra | Centralized exchange | Fully on-chain | Custom L1, semi-decentralized |
Sooth is deliberately narrow: it aims to be the most expressive and secure base layer for truth-terminated, infinite-end markets, while remaining neutral infrastructure for any front-end or ecosystem that wants to build on top.